外文翻譯--技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘對中國蔬菜出口的影響的研究一個基于引力模型的實證研究

1、中文 中文 4335 字Measurement of the Impacts of the Technical Barriers to Trade on Vegetable Export of China: An Empirical Study Based on the Gravity ModelLarry D. QiuJuly 2 2013AbstractWith the residue limits of pesticides in

2、 vegetables as the indication, the present paper employs the gravity model to measure the impacts of the technical barriers to trade on vegetable export of China. The analysis shows that the residue limits of the pestici

3、des in vegetables set by Japan, US and EU have apparent negative impacts on the vegetable export of China. The vegetable export of China decreases by 4.16% with the rise in the strictness of residue limits by 10%. On the

4、 other hand, to raise the strictness in residue limits of pesticides in vegetables in China has some positive impacts on the vegetable export of China. The reversed transmission of the affirmative list policy of Japan, d

5、espite its apparent short-term repressive impacts on the vegetable export of China, has positive impacts on the vegetable export of China as a whole to the US, European and Japanese markets.First，introduce situation and

6、the gravity model(A) introductionWith the development of economic globalization, and on the condition of WTO’s strictly limiting tariffs and quotas, anti-dumping, countervailing and other traditional non-tariff measures,

7、 to protect human and animal and plant health and environmental resources, technical barriers to trade (TBT), because of its characteristics such as strong pertinence, good concealment, flexibility, are increasingly beco

8、me the main policy tools and means in the world especially in the developed countries to make the trade protection, which has a far-reaching influence on international trade. In recent products and fresh fruit exports).

9、They all come to the same conclusion: the maximum residual standard can restrict the export of developing countries, and the more restrict the standard, the more obvious the restriction effect. In recent years, Chinese s

10、cholars have begun to use the gravity model to explain the effects of technical regulations and standards, technical barriers to trade. Zhaoxing (2005) deduced the gravitational equation of trade flow from the new classi

11、c and the new trade theory, and made a macro analysis on the Chinese agricultural product export flow. Dongsheng (2005), by use of the gravity model, analyzed the impact of Japanese limits of chlorpyrifos residues on Ch

12、ina’s vegetables export to Japan. Pan Fengjie, et al. (2010) analyzed and verified the influencing factors of the gravity model for China’s vegetable export. In addition, Xu Haiqing (2008), Dong Yinguo (2011), Zhong Ziji

13、an (2010), Zhai Yinli (2011) and other researchers used the gravity model to make a quantitative analysis on the influence of technical barriers to trade on China’s export of agricultural products. According to the conte

14、nt of the research, and considering the availability of the data, this paper applies the gravity model method to the research.Second, the construction of the model and the data sources(A) the construction of the modelTo

15、measure the effects of TBT on China’s vegetable export, we have constructed gravity model 1 to measure the impact of vegetable pesticide residue limits standard on trade, and plan to make an empirical analysis by using t

16、he panel data from China’s vegetable export to Japan, the United States and the European Union during the sixteen years from1995 to 2010.The form of Model 1 is specified as type (5):ln 𝑀𝑖𝑗𝑡

17、; = ln 𝑎0 + 𝑎1ln 𝐺𝑖𝑡 + 𝑎2ln 𝐺𝑗𝑡 + 𝑎3ln 𝐷𝑖𝑗 + 𝑎4ln 𝑆𝑖𝑗 + 𝑎5ln 𝑆Ү

18、94;𝑡 + 𝑈𝑖𝑗Where, Mijt is the vegetable trade volume of China’s export to country j during the t period. About the meaning of the explanatory variables, the theoretical prediction effect of