礦井頂板涌（突）水危險(xiǎn)性預(yù)測(cè)研究與系統(tǒng)實(shí)現(xiàn).pdf

1、論文題目：礦井頂板涌（突）水危險(xiǎn)性預(yù)測(cè)研究與系統(tǒng)實(shí)現(xiàn)專業(yè)：計(jì)算機(jī)軟件與理論碩士生：楊雅輝(簽名)指導(dǎo)教師：羅曉霞(簽名)摘要煤礦頂板涌(突)水所造成的淹井或礦難，嚴(yán)重威脅著煤礦的正常開采和礦工的生命安全。為了降低礦井開采過(guò)程中潛在的危險(xiǎn)性，減少由于煤礦涌(突)水所造成的損失，研究有效的礦井頂板涌(突)水危險(xiǎn)性預(yù)測(cè)方法和系統(tǒng)，對(duì)指導(dǎo)煤礦的安全開采具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文針對(duì)煤礦開采時(shí)頂板可能發(fā)生涌(突)水災(zāi)害的問(wèn)題，在收集和分析研究區(qū)域內(nèi)

2、水文地質(zhì)資料的基礎(chǔ)上，確定造成頂板涌(突)水災(zāi)害的主要因素。對(duì)礦井頂板涌(突)水災(zāi)害預(yù)測(cè)涉及到的各類數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行分類組織和管理。根據(jù)溝道洪水流量、導(dǎo)水裂隙帶高度和采空區(qū)涌水速度等單因素計(jì)算模型對(duì)原始數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行預(yù)處理。結(jié)合模糊數(shù)學(xué)理論選取基于層次分析的模糊綜合評(píng)判法用于礦井頂板涌(突)水危險(xiǎn)性預(yù)測(cè)。建立頂板涌(突)水災(zāi)害的評(píng)語(yǔ)集；運(yùn)用層次分析法計(jì)算評(píng)語(yǔ)集中四個(gè)主要影響因素的權(quán)重；建立各因素的隸屬度或隸屬函數(shù)，采用半梯形的隸屬函數(shù)分段表示導(dǎo)水裂隙

3、帶的發(fā)育程度，對(duì)于其他定性因素，使用專家經(jīng)驗(yàn)法進(jìn)行量化。為了便于識(shí)別煤層頂板涌(突)水危險(xiǎn)性大小，將煤層頂板涌(突)水危險(xiǎn)性由大到小劃分為危險(xiǎn)性大、危險(xiǎn)性較大、危險(xiǎn)性中等和危險(xiǎn)性小四個(gè)級(jí)別，每一級(jí)別都對(duì)應(yīng)著一個(gè)固定的顏色值。最后，結(jié)合疊加分析技術(shù)做單因素專題圖的復(fù)合疊加生成綜合預(yù)測(cè)分區(qū)圖，根據(jù)頂板涌(突)水危險(xiǎn)性分級(jí)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，確定各分區(qū)危險(xiǎn)性大小。本文基于MapGIS6.7二次開發(fā)平臺(tái)，采用VisualC6.0開發(fā)工具、選用SQLSERVE

4、R2008數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù)管理系統(tǒng)，設(shè)計(jì)和實(shí)現(xiàn)礦井頂板涌(突)水危險(xiǎn)性預(yù)測(cè)系統(tǒng)，并應(yīng)用陜北某礦井的31號(hào)煤驗(yàn)證了本文所提出的的礦井頂板涌(突)水危險(xiǎn)性預(yù)測(cè)方法的可行性與系統(tǒng)的實(shí)用性。關(guān)鍵詞:頂板涌(突)水；危險(xiǎn)性預(yù)測(cè)；MAPGIS6.7；VC6.0研究類型:應(yīng)用研究Subject:ResearchImplementationofMineRoofWaterInrushPredictionMethodSpecialty:ComputerSoftwar

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