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1、復旦大學碩士學位論文發(fā)展中國家的實際匯率研究姓名：俞萌申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：金融學指導教師：胡涵鈞2002.5.8AbstractAbstractAmongtheliteraturesoftheeconomicsofthedevelopingcountriestheexchangeratepolicyhasbeenthecenterofthediscussionsWhethertIledevelopmentoftheeconomics

2、issuccessornotisregardedtohaveacloserelationshiPwiththeexchangeratepolicyHowevertherealexchangeratehasclaimedacrucialroleintheeconomic1iteraturedevotedtoeconomicperformanceandpoliciesinthedevelopingcountries0neofthemosti

3、mportantoft11eseexchangerelatedproblemshastodo、Ⅳitlldefiningwhetheracountry’srealexchangerateisovervaluedoroutoflinewitht11elongrunequilibriumvalHeAsecondimportantproblemreferstohowrealexchangerateshouldbemeasuredTherear

4、emanythcoricsabouttheabovementionedtopic，rangingfromthetraditionalpurchasepowerparitytothemodemequilibriumexchangeratetheoriessetuponthedependenteconomv’andtheBalassaSamuelsonHypothesiswhichdealswiththerealexchangeratean

5、dtheeconomicperformanceinthedevelopingcountriesT11ispaplerintroducesthesetheoriesandtriestoanalysetherealexchangerateofRMBandthefundamentalsofthereaIexchangerateofRM[BThethesisconsistsofsixchaptersThefirstchapterconclude

6、stherelatedconceptsoftherealexchangerate，includingthedefinition，theequilibriumanddisequilibriumrealexchangerate，theeconomiceffectsoftherealexchangeratefluctuationsThesecondchapterintroducesthetraditionalequilibriumexchan

7、geratesystempurchasepowerparityandemphasesthetheoreticaldeviationwhenitispracticedinthedevelopingcountriesThechapteralsomakesaconclusionoftheanalysisthathasbeendoneThethirdchapterintroducesthefundamentalequilibriumexchan

8、gerateandthedesiredequilibriumexchangerate，whichemphasizesthatequilibriumrealexchangerateshouldbeinlinewitllthedevelopmentoftheoveralleconomictargetThefourthchapterintroducesamodeloftheequilibriumrealexchangerateofdevelo

9、pingcotmtdesItconcludesthatmonetaryandrealfactorswillaffecttherealexchangerateintheshortrun，howeverinthelongrun，onlyrealfactorswillaffectheequilibriumrealexchangeratenlemodelcapturessomefeaturesofthedevelopingcountries，i

10、ncludingtheexistenceofexchangecontrols，tradebarrierandafreelydeterminedparoledmarketforforeignexchangeforfinancialtransactionsThefifthchaptermakesaconclusionoftheresearchontherealexchangerateofRMB，thenmakeananalysisofthe

11、BalassaSamuelsonHypothesisofRMBThischapteralsoincludesamodelofthefundamentalsaffecttherealexchangerateofRMBThesixthchaptersummarizesthemainideasofthisthesisKeywords：RealexchangeratePurchasepowerparityFundamentalequilibri

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