mba論文能源消費結構約束下廣東省就業(yè)—產(chǎn)業(yè)結構協(xié)調度研究pdf

1、能源消費結構約束下廣東省就業(yè)-產(chǎn)業(yè)結構協(xié)調度研究 1 能源消費結構約束下廣東省就業(yè)-產(chǎn)業(yè)結構協(xié)調度研究 摘 要 本文首先介紹了廣東省能源消費結構約束下就業(yè)—產(chǎn)業(yè)結構協(xié)調度的研究背景與研究意義， 在對能源消費、 就業(yè)結構和產(chǎn)業(yè)結構相關研究文獻進行歸納整理的基礎上， 對就業(yè)—產(chǎn)業(yè)協(xié)調度的相關概念做了界定及提出了相關的理論基礎。首先對產(chǎn)業(yè)結構、就業(yè)結構、能源消費結構的相關概念進行了界定，隨后對就業(yè)—產(chǎn)業(yè)協(xié)調度和能源消費方面的相關理論進行了闡

2、釋， 主要包括配第—克拉克定理、庫茲涅茨對配第—克拉克定理的延伸、劉易斯模型與拉—費模型、帕西內蒂對勞動力與資本要素的研究和錢納里—塞爾奎因就業(yè)結構轉換滯后理論以及能源詛咒理論，為后續(xù)研究做好理論鋪墊。 其次，本文綜合分析了廣東省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構、就業(yè)結構和能源消費結構的現(xiàn)狀，發(fā)現(xiàn)廣東省就業(yè)保持穩(wěn)定，從業(yè)人員規(guī)模不斷擴大，產(chǎn)業(yè)結構得到進一步優(yōu)化、就業(yè)規(guī)模持續(xù)擴大、清潔能源消費比重持續(xù)上升。但是，依舊存在第三產(chǎn)業(yè)內部結構不合理、 產(chǎn)業(yè)結

3、構與就業(yè)結構存在偏離、 能源消費結構有待進一步優(yōu)化等問題。 第三，通過對就業(yè)彈性、比較勞動生產(chǎn)率、就業(yè)—產(chǎn)業(yè)結構偏離度、能源消費系數(shù)和能源消費彈性系數(shù)等指標的分析， 進一步對廣東省能源消費結構、 產(chǎn)業(yè)結構和就業(yè)結構的現(xiàn)狀進行了研究，初步探索了就業(yè)—產(chǎn)業(yè)協(xié)調度的影響因素，為后續(xù)研究能源消費結構約束下的就業(yè)—產(chǎn)業(yè)協(xié)調度做了鋪墊。 第四，在檢驗各變量的相關性部分，本文首先對能源消費結構、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構和就業(yè)結構各指標的平穩(wěn)性進行了檢驗； 在通過平穩(wěn)

4、性檢驗的基礎上， 再對三組時間序列數(shù)據(jù)進行了協(xié)整性檢驗， 檢驗結果證明能源消費結構、 產(chǎn)業(yè)結構和就業(yè)結構的相關變量存在一種長期均衡關系；最后，通過格蘭杰因果關系檢驗，發(fā)現(xiàn)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)比重與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重之間、 第二產(chǎn)業(yè)和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的產(chǎn)值比重的和與能源消費量之間、 第一產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重與電力消費量之間、 其他能源消費量與三次產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重之間、 第二產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)比重與其他能源消費量之間存在單向的因果關系。 第五，在實證分析方面，本文使用灰色關聯(lián)度方

5、法對廣東省能源消費結構、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構和就業(yè)結構的這三個系統(tǒng)的兩兩作用關系和作用的程度進行了實證分能源消費結構約束下廣東省就業(yè)-產(chǎn)業(yè)結構協(xié)調度研究 3 Studies on Coordination Degree of Employment Studies on Coordination Degree of Employment- Industry Structure in Guangdong Province under Energy n

6、dustry Structure in Guangdong Province under Energy Consumption Structure Constraints Consumption Structure Constraints Abstract Abstract This paper first introduces the employment structural constraints of energ

7、y consumption in Guangdong Province - the degree of coordination of industrial structure research background and research significance, collate and analyze on the basis of energy consumption, employment structure and i

8、ndustrial structure related research literature on employment - industry coordination degreerelevant concepts defined and related theoretical basis. Industrial structure and employment structure, energy consumpti

9、on structure concept first defined, followed by employment - industry coordination, and energy consumption of related theory interpretation, mainly including Petty - Clark, Kuznets with first - the extension

10、of the theorem of Clark, Lewis model and pull - fee model, Pasinetti's research on labor and capital elements and Chenery - Seer Kui employment structure lag theory as well as the energy curse the

11、ory, do a good job for the follow-up study theoretical groundwork. Secondly, a comprehensive analysis of the status of economic development in Guangdong, the industrial structure, employment structure and energy c

12、onsumption structure, found stable employment in Guangdong Province, the employees have been expanding the industrial structure was further optimized, and employment continues to expand the scale, clean energy c

13、onsumptioncontinued to rise. But, still exists within the tertiary industry structure is irrational industrial structure and employment structure deviate pending further optimization of energy consumption structure. Thi

14、rdly ， indicators of employment elasticity, comparative labor productivity, employment - the degree of deviation of the industrial structure and energy consumption coefficient and energy consumption elasticity coeffici

15、ent of energy consumption structure, industrial structure and employment structure of the status quo study, explored the employment - industry coordination, the degree of impact factors, and do paving the way for th

16、e follow-up study the structure of energy consumption under the constraint of employment - industry coordination degree. Fourth, the in test variable part, the paper first indicators of the energy consumption stru