政府投資和民間投資與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系研究.pdf

1、首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文政府投資和民間投資與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系研究姓名：陳真玲申請學(xué)位級別：碩士專業(yè)：數(shù)量經(jīng)濟學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師：王利20100301首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文政府投資和民間投資與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系研究IIAbstractAbstractAsthefirstimptantfactofeconomicgrowthinvestmentaswellasconsumptionexptisconsideredasengineinonenat

2、ion’seconomicdevelopment.Since1996whenithasachieved“softling”gentlyChinesenationaleconomyhasbeengrowingverywellingeneral.Investmenthasbeenthefirstimpetusofnation’sGDP.Wehavedevelopedamodelwhichwepaymeattentiontoinvestmen

3、ttoaccumulationigningconsumptioninalongtimeresutinginoversuppliedcommoditiesrepeatingconstructionthebiggapbetweenporichlackofstaminaindevelopment.Howevertheroleofinvestmentintheeconomycann’tbeplacedbyconsumption.Enlargei

4、ngconsumptiondoesn’tmeangivinginvestmentup.Ifwecancontrolproperinvestmentscaleinvestmentstructurecaninvestmentpromoteconomydevelopingtothefullestextentpossible.Domesticinvestmentinaccdancewithit’ssubjectcanbedividedintog

5、overnmentinvestmentnongovernmentinvestmentwhichisratherimptanttogovernmentindecidingmacroeconomicpoliciesoptimizeinvestmentstructureencourageprivatecapital.Throughempiricalanalysesofinvestmenteconomicgrowththisthesisprov

6、esthatenlargeinginvestmentcanboosteconomicgrowthrevealtheimbalanceintheratioofinvestmentirrationalinvestmentstructure.BycollectinghisticalannualdatausingeconometricresearchmethodstobuildVARmodelthisthesis’spurposeistostu

7、dytherelationshipbetweenGDPthegovernmentinvestmentthenongovernmentinvestment.Studieshaveshownthatthereisalongtermstablerelationshipamongthethreevariablesthetwokindsofinvestmenthaveagreateffectoneconomicgrowth.Howeverduet

8、ogovernmentinvestmentproblemitselfpartlyoffsetthestimulatingeffect.Sotheprivateinvestmenthasmeeffectoneconomicgrowththangovernmentinvestment.Inthecaseoftodaysfinancialcrisishoweffectthegovernments4trillioninvestmentonboo

9、stingthenongovernmentinvestmentInthispaperadoptingthelatestmonthlydatafrom2006to2009establishingeconometricmodelsshowsthatitisobviousgovernmentinvestmentspurtheeconomicgrowth.Butinthelongrunthewayofrelyingonfiscaldeficit

10、sissuingtreasurybondswillhaveanegativeimpactoneconomicgrowth.Indertomaintainstablerapideconomicdevelopmentimprovingpeopleslivingstardthemostimptantthingistovigouslydeveloptheprivateeconomyopentheprivatecapital..Contrastt

11、othetwomodelsabovewefoundthatpromotingcoefficientsofgovernmentinvestmentaredifferentinthetwomodels.Inthefinancialcrisisthegovernmentinvestmentstimulatinghasmeeffectontheeconomythaninusual.Thisshowsthatgovernmentexpinginv

12、estmentalscalefcopingwithcrisishasimptantroleinpreventingeconomicrecessionpromotingeconomicgrowth.Ftheaboveanalysiswehaveproposedpolicyproposalsontheregulationsofgovernmentinvestmenthowtoencouragenongovernmentinvestment.