中國出口貿易增長波動的影響因素分析.pdf

1、西北大學碩士學位論文中國出口貿易增長波動的影響因素分析姓名：周江燕申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：國際貿易學指導教師：趙景峰20100601TheEffectFactorsAnalysisoftheFluctuationofExportGrowthinChinaAbstractAfter30years’developmentofreformandopeningup，theexport—orientedstrategyofChinahadachi

2、evedalotofsignificantresultsSOthatexporthasbecomeoneofthreehugehorsedrawnvehicalsequal研minvestmentAtpresent，ourexportranksfirstintheworldandthetotalofimportandexportrankstllirdintheworldHowever011I“exportisveryfragilebec

3、auseofitshighdependenceontheforeignmarketSo，itsharplydropsdownwhenencounteringinternationalfinancialcrisisThefluctuationofexportisboundtoeffectitssmoothgrowthThepurposeofthispaperisseekingouttheendogenousshockandexogenou

4、sshockfactorswhichinfluenceOurexport’SlongtermgrowthandshorttermfluctuationthroughqualitativeanalysisandquantitativeanalysisWhat’Smore，thepaperwillgiveproposalsinordertoensurethesmoothgrowthofourexportBasedonthepreviousr

5、esearches，thispaperfirstlydiscussestheinfluencemerchanismofexportfluctuationtoChineseeconomyTheauthorbelievesthattheinfluencepathesareresourceallocation，investmentemployment，technologyprogressandforeignexchangereservesSe

6、condly，thispaperanalyzestheexporttradefluctuatingsituationfromthetwoaspectsoftotalquantityandstructureThepaperusestheH—Pfilteranalysismethodtothetotalquantitywhichdemonatrates：during30years’reformprocess，Chinaexporttrade

7、hasexperienced9shortperiodfluctuationsand4longperiodfluctuationsChinaexporttradeisintheforthcyclefluctuationtimewhichisfierceandgreatvarianceStructureanalysis’Sresultshowes：China’Sexportproductsstructuretransformedfromth

8、elaborintensiveformintocapitaltechnologyintensiveAtpresent，themechanicalandelectricalproductsandthehigh—techproductbecomethemainproductHowevertheprocessingtradeproportionexcessivelyisstillhighandtheexportmarketconcentrat

9、iondegreeexcessivelytobestillhighOncemore，thepaperbasedonthetraditionalinternationaltradetheoryfromthequalitativeaspectanalyzesthedemandfactorthesupplyactorthesystemfactorandthestructurefactorwhicheffectexportgrowthfluct