公路工程可行性研究中的交通分析及預(yù)測.pdf

1、東南大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文公路工程可行性研究中的交通分析及預(yù)測姓名：王勇申請學(xué)位級別：碩士專業(yè)：道路與鐵道工程指導(dǎo)教師：黃曉明彭金忠2000.6.1東南大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文TrafficAnalysisandForecastinHighwayEngineerFeasibilityStudyABSTRACTInthispaper，trafficanalysisandforecastinhighwayengineerfeasibilitystudy(

2、HEFS)fromthepointofcompositivetransportisresearchedFirstly，aframefortrafficanalysisandforecastinHEFSisdesigned，thencomesemphasisresearchforfouraspectintheviewofcompositivetransport：IThecontentoftrafficinvestigationandana

3、lysisisputforward2Basedontheanalysisonthecharacteristicofwatercarriage，tllepaperputsupthemethodofcalculatewatercarriageODbywaterwaythroughputandtheaveragemileageofthefreight3TheFourStagemethodisappliedtoforecastpassenger

4、transportdemandBasedontheanalysisonthecharacteristicofcompositivetransport，thepaperselectstheappropriatemethodofforecastingThenthepapertheorizesrevisiedmodeltorevisetheresultofproportioncalculatedbytheLogitmodelinthestag

5、eofpartakingoftransport4WiththethestatusofcompositivefreighttransportinChina，thepaperanalysisthefeatureoffreighttransportonhighway，railwayandwaterwayOnthebaseofthis，thepaperputupthemethodandprocessforforecastingthedemand

6、offreighttransportAtlast，withanexampleofhanshihighwayXiaogantoXiangfansegment，thispapergiveanalysisexampleofthetheoriesandmethodsputforwardinthispaperKeyWord：highwayengineerfeasibilitystudy(HEFS)，compositivetransporttran