收入不確定性、攀比效應和消費.pdf

1、山西財經大學碩士學位論文收入不確定性、攀比效應和消費姓名：曹亞芳申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：統(tǒng)計學指導教師：杭斌2011-02-22Abstract In recent years, while residents’ income grows continuously in our country, residents ' consumption level has becoming weak, the average propen

2、sity to consumption has the downward trend, and the average propensity to save gets higher and higher. This article describes the status of domestic consumption, and deduces the consumption function with external habit f

3、ormation (keeping up with joneses) and income uncertainty based on the theory of life cycle-permanent income hypothesis, which is used to explain the reason of the consumption becoming weak. By using urban residents’ eco

4、nomic data, This article established a panel data model to analyze the relationship of income uncertainty keeping up with joneses and consumption in china town. As my result shows, income uncertainty has a negative effec

5、t on consumption and the effect of keeping up with joneses on consumption leads to the declining of the average propensity to consumption and weakens the negative effect which income uncertainty brings to consumption. At

6、 last, according to the estimation results, there are some suggestions for increasing the consumption level of residents. 【Key words】Consumption external habit formation (keeping up with joneses) income uncertainty pa