中國經(jīng)濟行為跨區(qū)間分布的理論檢驗.pdf

1、目錄M1Abstract2第1章引言il.i研究背景11.2研究方法與框架21.3主要創(chuàng)新與貢獻2第2章經(jīng)濟地理學理論綜述42.1文獻綜述42.1.1理論文獻綜述42.1.2實證文獻綜述62.2三大主流理論核心思想梳理82.2.1收益遞增理論92.2.2隨機游走理論102.2.3區(qū)位基本面理論11第3章實證分析133.1兩千年歷史數(shù)據(jù)梳理133.1.1數(shù)據(jù)來源133.1.2研究方法163.1.3數(shù)據(jù)概

2、述203.1.4分析結(jié)果213.2基于馬爾科夫轉(zhuǎn)移矩陣的研究243.2.1研究方法243.2.2分析結(jié)果263.319591961年大饑荒時期的案例研究293.3.1大饑荒背景簡介303.3.2數(shù)據(jù)來源303.3.3研究方法343.3.4計量結(jié)果及解讀36第4章三種理論對中國的適用性39第5章結(jié)論與政策建議415.1主要結(jié)論415.2局限與拓展42參考：5：獻43麵46AbstractInthispape

3、rweanalyzeacommonproblemineconomicgeography:whysomeregioncanmaintaintheirprospectusstatusfcenturieswhileotherregionsstrugglehardtoliveagainstpovertyWillalargeshockresultinanewequilibriumftheeconomyByintroducingthreediffe

4、rentsectionsinthispaper:analyzingtheevolutionpathofregionalpopulationdensitiesfthelast2000yearsinChinausingMarkovtransitionmatrixfadeeperdataminingtowardsthe2000yearsregionalpopulationdensitydataintroducingaveryinfluenti

5、alshockinChinahistythatisthe19591961GreatFaminetoinvestigatewhetherabigshockcancauseapermanentinfluencetocertainregionsowecanfurtherdistinguishrandomgrowththeylocalfundamentaltheywegetrichempiricalevidenceintheChinesecas

6、e.Thenwematchtheseempiricalresultswiththepredictionsinthreemainstreamtheiesineconomicgeographywhichareincreasingreturntheyromgrowththeylocationalfundamentalthey.Wefindthatlocationalfundamentaltheyhasthemostpowerfulexplan

7、ationfChinasover2000yearsdistributionofeconomicactivityacrossspace.Thatmeansshocksonlyhavetemparyinfluencetowardsregionsizesandfalongruntheinnatenaturalendowmentdeterminestheregionsizetoalargeextent.Keywds：EconomicGeogra