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1、CHAPTER22ValueatRiskPracticeQuestionsProblem22.1.Considerapositionconsistingofa$100000investmentinassetAa$100000investmentinassetB.Assumethatthedailyvolatilitiesofbothassetsare1%thatthecoefficientofcrelationbetweentheirr
2、eturnsis0.3.Whatisthe5day99%VaRftheptfolioThestarddeviationofthedailychangeintheinvestmentineachassetis$1000.Thevarianceoftheptfolio’sdailychangeis2210001000203100010002600000?????????????Thestarddeviationoftheptfolio’sd
3、ailychangeisthesquarerootofthis$1612.45.Thestarddeviationofthe5daychangeis1612455$360555??????BecauseN1(0.01)=2.3261%ofanmaldistributionliesmethan2.326starddeviationsbelowthemean.The5day99percentvalueatriskistherefe2.326
4、3605.55=$8388.Problem22.2.DescribethreewaysofhlinginterestratedependentinstrumentswhenthemodelbuildingapproachisusedtocalculateVaR.HowwouldyouhleinterestratedependentinstrumentswhenhisticalsimulationisusedtocalculateVaRT
5、hethreealternativeproceduresmentionedinthechapterfhlinginterestrateswhenthemodelbuildingapproachisusedtocalculateVaRinvolve(a)theuseofthedurationmodel(b)theuseofcashflowmapping(c)theuseofprincipalcomponentsanalysis.Whenh
6、isticalsimulationisusedweneedtoassumethatthechangeinthezerocouponyieldcurvebetweenDaymDay1m?isthesameasthatbetweenDayiDay1i?fdifferentvaluesofi.InthecaseofaLIBthezerocurveisusuallycalculatedfromdepositratesEurodollarfutu
7、resquotesswaprates.WecanassumethatthepercentagechangeineachofthesebetweenDaymDay1m?isthesameasthatbetweenDayiDay1i?.InthecaseofaTreasurycurveitisusuallycalculatedfromtheyieldsonTreasuryinstruments.Againwecanassumethatthe
8、percentagechangeineachofthesebetweenDaymDay1m?isthesameasthatbetweenDayiDay1i?.Problem22.3.AfinancialinstitutionownsaptfolioofoptionsontheU.S.dollar–sterlingexchangerate.Thedeltaoftheptfoliois56.0.Thecurrentexchangeratei
9、s1.5000.Deriveanapproximatelinearrelationshipbetweenthechangeintheptfoliovaluethepercentagechangeintheexchangerate.Ifthedailyvolatilityoftheexchangerateis0.7%estimatethe10day99%VaR.Theapproximaterelationshipbetweenthedai
10、lychangeintheptfoliovalueP?thedailychangeintheexchangerateS?is56PS???Whenafinalexchangeofprincipalisaddedinthefloatingsideisequivalentazerocouponbondwithamaturitydateequaltothedateofthenextpayment.Thefixedsideisacouponbe
11、aringbondwhichisequivalenttoaptfolioofzerocouponbonds.Theswapcantherefebemappedintoaptfolioofzerocouponbondswithmaturitydatescrespondingtothepaymentdates.Eachofthezerocouponbondscanthenbemappedintopositionsintheadjacents
12、tardmaturityzerocouponbonds.Problem22.8.ExplainthedifferencebetweenValueatRiskExpectedShtfall.Valueatriskisthelossthatisexpectedtobeexceeded(100)X%?ofthetimeinNdaysfspecifiedparametervaluesXN.Expectedshtfallistheexpected
13、lossconditionalthatthelossisgreaterthantheValueatRisk.Problem22.9.ExplainwhythelinearmodelcanprovideonlyapproximateestimatesofVaRfaptfoliocontainingoptions.Thechangeinthevalueofanoptionisnotlinearlyrelatedtothechangeinth
14、evalueoftheunderlyingvariables.Whenthechangeinthevaluesofunderlyingvariablesisnmalthechangeinthevalueoftheoptionisnonnmal.Thelinearmodelassumesthatitisnmalistherefeonlyanapproximation.Problem22.10.Sometimeagoacompanyhase
15、nteredintoafwardcontracttobuy£1millionf$1.5million.Thecontractnowhassixmonthstomaturity.Thedailyvolatilityofasixmonthzerocouponsterlingbond(whenitspriceistranslatedtodollars)is0.06%thedailyvolatilityofasixmonthzerocoupon
16、dollarbondis0.05%.Thecrelationbetweenreturnsfromthetwobondsis0.8.Thecurrentexchangerateis1.53.Calculatethestarddeviationofthechangeinthedollarvalueofthefwardcontractinoneday.Whatisthe10day99%VaRAssumethatthesixmonthinter
17、estrateinbothsterlingdollarsis5%perannumwithcontinuouscompounding.Thecontractisalongpositioninasterlingbondcombinedwithashtpositioninadollarbond.Thevalueofthesterlingbondis00505153e?????$1.492million.Thevalueofthedollarb
18、ondis0050515e?????$1.463million.Thevarianceofthechangeinthevalueofthecontractinonedayis2222149200006146300005208149200006146300005??????????????????0000000288??Thestarddeviationistherefe$0.000537million.The10day99%VaRis0
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