公路路基施工風險分析與評價研究.pdf

1、分類號密級U415單位代碼10618學號03300207墨廢交通戈肇碩士學位論文論文題目：公路路基施工風險分析與評價研究墅皇Z旦墜坐皇墅坐墅型坦!磐璺墅坐旦璺壘旦呈墮RoadbedConstrucfion導師姓名、職稱：崔新媛副教授中請學位級別：專業(yè)名稱：論文答辯日期；學位授予單位：答辯委員會主席：肖維品評閱人；肖維品2006年4月2日池潔中英文摘要ABSTRACTIIHighwayroadbedconstructionistheimp

2、ortantpartofhighwayconstructionBut，ltighwayroadbedconstructionenvironmentiscomplicatewithagreatdealofriskfactorsOnceriskhappens，itwillbringhugelosstotheenterpriseAtpresent，constructionsenterpriseshavenotmanagerisksasinde

3、pendentprojOCtmanagementobjection，onlybyexperience，anditsriskconsciousnessisweak；therefore。howtoidenti母theseriskfactorsandmakeSUretheimpendingrisk，estimatewhichonescouldrelativelygreatinfluenceenterprise，andhowmuchlosses

4、theseriskcouldbringtoenterprise，whichisatoughproblemfacedbyconstructionenterprisestudyonroadbedconstmctionriskhasrelativesignificancetoimprovetheriskconsciousnessofenterpriseandreduceitsrisklevelTofocusontheroadbedconstr

5、uctionrisk，thisessayconductssystematicalanalysistotheriskfactorsinroadbedconstructionprovidesriskidenticalapproachesinroadbedconstructionforconstructionenterprise，andpossessesguidemeaningtopractice；besides，italsoconducts

6、systematicalanalysisandidentificationtomoreseriousriskinroadbedconstruction，suchashighfills，deepdigcuttingandcostrisk；anddecidestheirriskspace，buildsWBSRBSidentificationmatrix；italsoapplieshierarchyfuzzycomprehensiveeval

7、uationtoevaluateroadbedconstmctionrisk，andadoptsMonteCarloapproachtoevaluatecostriskItappliesdifferentriskevaluateapproachesasitevaluatestheroadbedconstructionriskaccordingtodifferentriskcharacteristicInroadbedconstructi

8、onqualityriskestimation，todecideeachriskweight，itadoptsoptimumcombinationweighingmodel；tomakeSUreriskpossibilityitapplieshieran：hyfuzzycomprehensiveapproach；toestimaterisklossvalue，itdrawsupspecialistfuzzyestimationappro

9、ach；toestimatecostrisk，itUSeMonteCarloimitationapproach；theappropriateapplicationofthesemethodsplaysagoodroleinaccurateestimationThisessaycompletescombinedtrAfI盤cdepartmentbasicscienceresearchprogram“studiesonthewholepro