城市機(jī)動車車輛停放特性分析與停車需求預(yù)測研究.pdf

1、Y79]幺51分類號Ⅱ生!f：!密級齟UDc配5東碩士學(xué)號Q2i2南大學(xué)學(xué)位論文城市機(jī)動車車輛停放特性分析與停車需求預(yù)測研究研究生姓名：張鈞導(dǎo)師姓私：三炷熬援一中清學(xué)位級另U—』鹺j吐_學(xué)科專業(yè)名稱鑾通運(yùn)逾翅劃生笪堡論文提交日期—型曼生Q；且論文答辯El期2005生03月曰學(xué)位授予單位一盔直太堂學(xué)位授予日期20年月臼答辯委員會豐席評閱人2005年3月OZf5平5AbstractThedifficultyandchaosofparking

2、havebecomeoneofthemostseriousurbantrafficproblemsAlongwiththesocialandeconomicdevelopmentandrapidincreaseofmotorvehiclesinChina(especiallytheprivatecars)，theconflictofparkingsupplyanddemandinmanycitiesisstrikingnowTogras

3、ptheparkingcharacteristicsandtherulesofparkinginChinesecitiesfullyandtoforecasttheparkingdemandsrationallyandaccuratelyisveryimportant，whichhasitsspecialmeaningsbothintheoryandinpracticestoparkinglayoutplanning，parkingco

4、nstruction，andtheanalysisparker’SbehaviordecisionmakingResearchinthispaperreliesonitem‘‘Researchonkeymeansaboutvehiclesparkingincitiesundernewposture”(No：50308005)whichisstakedbyNationalNatureScienceFundationofChinaThisp

5、aperexplainedamethodofhowtosurveyandanalyzetheparkingcharacteristicsByinvestigatingtheCarparkingcharacteristicsanddrives’reactionbehaviorcharacteristictoPGISinNanjing，asetofconsultableconclusionsaregainedBasedonanalyzing

6、thebasicelementsinfluencingparkingbehaviors，NchardArnottt’SparkingbehaviorsmodelsisquotedtoexplainthewholeprocessofparkingbehaviorTheauthoranalyzesmadclassifymechanization’Sactionof8citieswhichlieindifferentre百onsandwhos

7、eeconomyscalesaredifferent，andthengettherulesofparkingbehaviorandvehicle’StripThispaperdescribesdefinitionandcharacterisofparkingdemandWithregardtoparkingdemandprediction，theauthorputsforwarditsthreephasesandsummarizesth

8、epredictingapproachesParkingchargeisusedasindependentvariableparametertoperformmultinomiallogitmodeltopredictthechoiceoftramcmodes，andalsoanestlogitmodelisbuilttopredicttheimpactofitonthewholeprocessoftravelbehaviorandth

9、echoicesofdestinationoftripAccordingtothreephasesofpredictingapproaches，alogitdisaggregatebehavioralmodelofparkingdemandpredictioniSbuiltIntheendallconclusionsaresummarizedandresearchdirectionsinthefutureareprospectedint