上海市房地產(chǎn)住宅市場分析及價格預測.pdf

1、同濟大學碩士學位論文上海市房地產(chǎn)住宅市場分析及價格預測姓名：李員根申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：技術(shù)經(jīng)濟及管理指導教師：趙財福20030616AnalysisofShanghaiRealEstateandHouseMarketanditspriceprospectsAbstractFirstly，thiSarticleanalyzestheoutsidedevelopingenvironmentforhouseandhousing—landi

2、ndustryfromsevenaspects：Shanghai’Seconomicstanding，theoveralldevelopmentofhouseandhousing—landindustry，thecurrentSituationofurbanpopulation，employmentandrealestatemarket，Citizen’Sincomeandsaving，urbaninfrastructureconstr

3、uctionandtheoldareareconstructionanditSdwellers’removalprojectSSecondly，based013thedevelopmentstatusofShanghairealestateindustryandShanghailandindustryinyear2002，andusingthebasiCtheoriesofhousingeconomics，thiSarticlesetf

4、orththeconnotationofhouseandhousing—landprice，diSCUSSeSthecurrentpricefo珊ationonhousemarket，expatiatesontheclassificationofdemand，the5mainfactorsaffectingdemandandthe4mainfactorsaffectingsupply，thenfrom7aspectsanalyzesth

5、emicroeconomicenvironmentinShanghaiandpointsoutthe9expandingopportunitiesnowfacingShanghairealestateindustry(housingindustry)Basedontheaboveexplanation，thiSarticleanalyzesthenewcharacteristiCSonhousedevelopmentinChinaint

6、heseveralyearstocomeandtheemergingtrendofhouseconsumptioninShanghaiBasedonthespeculationofShanghaipopulationduringyear2003—2005，thisarticleanalyzesthefuturedevelopmentofShanghaihouseindustryandaidingbyamathematicsmodel，s

7、peculatedonthegrossdemandforthenewly—builthousesinShanghaiduringtheperiodofyear2002—2005ThenanothermathematiCSmodeliScontrivedtoheipmaketheforecastonthehousepriceduringyear2002—2008andthuscompletethefinalforecastontheove