供電風(fēng)險元傳遞優(yōu)化理論模型及其應(yīng)用.pdf

1、華北電力大學(xué)（北京）碩士學(xué)位論文供電風(fēng)險元傳遞優(yōu)化理論模型及其應(yīng)用姓名：黃旻申請學(xué)位級別：碩士專業(yè)：管理學(xué)；技術(shù)經(jīng)濟及管理指導(dǎo)教師：李存斌201203華北電力大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文Abstract’11lispaperlsoneofthemainpanoftheNatlonal】NaturalSciencef。oundation(71071054)named”Ente印riseProjectChainRiskElementsTransmiss

2、ionTheoryandApplicationResearchUnderInfo蛐atioIlizationEnVironment”，andalsotheimportantpanofthePhaseIIIoftheNonhChimElectricPowerUniVersity”211Projects”named”T1lePowerSupplyRiskElements1’ransmissionTheoryModelandApplicati

3、OnUnderInfomationizationEnVironment“Themajncontentofresearchisthe叩timizationmethodofpowersupplyriskelementstransmissionConsidefingthedynamictransitivityofthepowersupplyrisk，deflnedthepowersupplyriskelements，basicclassifi

4、cationandthemeasuremethods，analyzedthestmctureaIldtheoptimizationdirectionoftheriskelementstransmissionAmongthefieldofthetransmissionoptimization，theoptimizationfofVarioustransmissionstmcturemodelofpowersupplyriskelement

5、sandforthepowerreIatedprojectsriskelemencstransmissionarethemosttwotypicaldirectionsBesides，thetransmissionstnlcturemodelofpowersupplyriskelementsincludesthelayerstmcture，net、)l，orkstmcture，etcThereforeselectedthemostthr

6、eerepresentatiVeresearchdirection，thelayerstructure，thenetworkstnictureandthepower—relatedpr(】jects，analyzedthetransmissionprocessanditsla、Mestablishedthepowersupplyriskelementstransmissionmodel，andsoughtfortheoptimizati

7、onmethodsThrou曲theexamplessimulationandthesolution，itintuitiVelydescribedthethou曲ts，processesandresultsofpowersupplyriskelementstransmissiontheoryThisresearchmethodwhichbasedontherisktransmissiontheoryhasbreakthrougllthe

8、traditionalmethod’slimitationthatalwaysseparatelinksinthepowersupplyprocessSothepowersupplyriskmanagementwouldbemOresystematicandcomprehensiveItcanproVidemoredetailedriskinfo咖ationfordecision—makersandmaketheyunderstandt

9、hesources，directionandrelationofeachriskelementThatalsomeansthatthedecisionmakefscouldanalyZethepowersupplyriskinahi曲erleVel筒thou曲thequantityoftheriskinfo珊ationshasincreased，butitalsohasremoVedthemassiVeunimponantandunre

10、latedinfo蛐ation，thatpromotedaleanerriskmanagementMoreimponantly，thewholepaperanalyzedtherelationshipofthepowefsupplyriskelementstransmissionbytheconceptofdynamicftombeginningtoend，thiskindofthoughtisundoubtedlythemostrea