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1、學校代碼:幽分類號:盟研究生學號:密級:⑧東北JIf予冠大季碩士學位論文Y8875761251203024五宅刊糟圳的行膏釘暑缺水風倦n鼉q介攤糾示體系毒刊煅研究Studyonthe砌skAssessmentIndexSystemandModelofUrbanDrOughtandwaterShortageinJilinProVince指導教師學科專業(yè)研究方向學位類型作者:金冬梅張繼權教授自然地理學氣象災害風險評價與管理學歷碩士東北師范大

2、學學位評定委員會2006年5月AbstractItiswell—lmownthatwatershonage,especiallvforcityseriouslVafrectsthesocialandeconomicdeveIo口mentofcityandbecomesaworld—widepmblem,JilinProvinceisoneofthemajorprovinceswit1droughtandwatershortageinNo

3、nheastChinaDroughtandwatershortagearecharacterizedbytheirhi曲frequency,broadrangeandgreatIossMoreover,droughtandwatershortagehaveatendencytooccuronen,andtheextentofthedamageonsocialaJldeconomicsvstemhaveincreasedrecentlvd

4、uetosuchfactorsasurbanization,popula“ongrow幽,increasingdemandaccountofwat甜resourceswithdevelopmentofeconomicandtheimprovementof1ivingenviroIlrllentincjtlesandcIimatech甜lgeThisstudvpresentstheorV,methodologyandmanagementm

5、easuresforriskaJlalysisandassessmentofurbandrou曲tandwatershortageinnljnProvince,Chinafbmmeviewpointsofclimatologv’geo鱸aph弘hydrology,diSasterscierLce,andenvironmentalscienceandsoo凡basedondomesticaJldjntemalionaladvancedRs

6、earchresuItst11roughGeograpmcalInfomlationSystems(GIS),thetechnologyofnatumldisasterriskassessmentandmanyqualllitativea:nalysismethodsunderthep打ncipleofsustainabledevelo口mentThlsstudypresentsamodelofriskaSsessmentofurban

7、drou曲tandwatershortagewhichimegrateshazard,exposllre,VulnerabilityaT】demergencyresponseandrecoveryc印abilitycontributedtourbandroughtandwalershortageinJiljnProvince,ChinabyusingNaturalDisasterRiskIndexmethod,Wei曲tedCompre

8、hensiveAnalysisandAnaIvticHierarchvProcessandthetechn0109yofNaturalDisasterRiskAssessmentTheriskde目口eeofurbandrou曲tandwatershonageisassessedbymeriskassessmentmodel,theriskmapofurbandrou曲tandwatershonagejsdrawnbasedonGIST

9、heriskmaJlagementcountemeasuresofurbandroughtandwatershonageforJilinprovincewerepmposedbasedontheabove—mentionedresearchresuItsTheriskdegreeofurbandrou譬htandwatershortageinJilinproVinceshows:ChangChun,Song1Yuan,BaiChenga

10、rethecitieswlthhighriskofthedrou曲taIldwatershortage,JiLin,SingPin&“aoYuanandtheautonomousprefectureofYanBianarethecitieswimmoderate—sk,TongHuaandBaiShanarethecitieswithlowriskAccordingtothereasonof、vatershortage,,ChangCh

11、unandJiLinarebelongtothecitieswilhmiXedtypeofwatershortage,SiPing,“aoYuan,SongYuanandBaiSh趴belongtotllecltieswithtypeofwaterresourceshonage,TongHuaandYanBianbelongtothecit主esw‰executiVetypeofwatershonageThjsstudycanbeexp

12、ectedtaisepublicawarenessOfdroughtandwatershonagerisk,improVeemergencyresponsecapabilitytodmughtandwatershonage,mitigatetheaf詫ctandlosscausedbythem,andtoprovidesoIldmeoriesandtechn0109icaIsupponsfbrcakingcomprehensiveand

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