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1、中國汽車燃料經(jīng)濟性標準及燃料經(jīng)濟性政策研究 The Automobile Fuel Economy Standards and Fuel Efficiency Promotion Policies of China中國汽車技術研究中心 China Automotive Technology and Research Center2001.8.23,重要內容:(Content)1、評價體系建立的內容、
2、問題與計劃(Content,question and schedule of establishment of evaluation system)2、技術成本效益分析的內容、問題與計劃(Content,question and schedule of technology cost-effectiveness analysis)3、汽車燃油經(jīng)濟性普查內容、問題與計劃(Content, question and schedule
3、of universal survey),1、評價體系的研究與建立Establishment of Evaluation System,評價體系的建立--原因? Establishment of Evaluation System-Why?,選用類似CAFE的方法限制汽車燃油經(jīng)濟性?(restrain the auto fuel economy by the method of CAFE?)選用類似日本的方法來限制汽車燃油經(jīng)濟性?
4、(restrain the auto fuel economy by the method like Japanese measure?)采用完全不同的新方法?(use entirely different new method?),評價體系的建立--歐、美、日的基本情況 Establishment of Evaluation System-The situation in Europe, American and Japan,歐
5、洲(Europe):采用較高的燃油價格,公開汽車燃油耗;但最近也開始考慮采用公司平均法來限制CO2和油耗。(Higher fuel price, publishing vehicle fuel consumption rate to guide vehicle purchase. Recently, consider to restrain fuel consumption together with CO2 emission by m
6、eans of company average value. )美國(American):公司平均油耗法。(Corporate Average Fuel Economy(CAFE) ) 日本(Japan):將乘用車按重量分為8類,分別要求。(Passenger cars are take into eight categories according to vehicle weight, and the auto fuel e
7、conomy of different category are restrained by different limit),評價體系的建立(1)-CAFE的優(yōu)點和問題Establishment of Evaluation System(1)-Advantages and question,可以從總體上控制汽車的燃油消耗。(may restrain the auto fuel consumption in total)不對具體車
8、型提出要求,有利于汽車企業(yè)的產(chǎn)品調整;(Do not limit on individual auto type. Benefit the adjustment of production in the manufactories) 是否有利于中國汽車向大集團化的發(fā)展?(Be helpful to the development of Chinese auto industry to large scale?)問題:中國汽車企業(yè)眾
9、多,各企業(yè)產(chǎn)品單一。( There are too many independent auto companies, and each of which always owns few types of auto in China),評價體系的建立(2)-對汽車分類要求?(1)Establishment of Evaluation System(2)-Limitation for Each Individual Auto Categ
10、ory?(1),適合當前中國的企業(yè)現(xiàn)狀:企業(yè)眾多、產(chǎn)品單一;(Fit the present situation of Chinese auto industry: There are too many manufactories which always own few types of auto)不能從宏觀上控制燃油消耗;(Can not restrain the fuel consumption in total.),評價體
11、系的建立(2)--按汽車重量分類?(2)Establishment of Evaluation System(2)-Categorizing Auto by Weight?(2),為什么日本選擇車重而不是發(fā)動機功率或排量作為汽車分類的依據(jù)?(Why does Japan choose weight of vehicle other than displacement volume or engine power as the cat
12、egorizing specific?)日本是如何決定類別劃分值?(How does Japan determine the boundary values?)是否對較重的汽車要求較嚴?(If the requirement for heavy auto is stricter than that of light auto?) 是否會影響企業(yè)對采用輕型材料的的積極性?If this will lead negative inf
13、luence to the lightening effort of the auto?,評價體系的建立(2)--分類要求問題的解決?(3) Establishment of Evaluation System(2)-Answer to the question of Limitation for Each Auto Category(3),通過大量數(shù)據(jù)的統(tǒng)計分析,努力使分類油耗限值合理;(Make the fuel consumpti
14、on limits reasonable through statistic of large amount of data concerned with fuel consumption)為了抑制高油耗車輛的增長,從而在一定程度上彌補這種方法對總體油耗控制的不足,可以嚴格對高油耗汽車的限值要求;(For compensation of the disadvantage of not restraining in total at s
15、ome extent and restrain the increase of high-FE auto, we can give the stricter limit for these auto.) 也可以通過提高高油耗車輛稅率達到以上目的。(The goal may be reached by high-tax for high-fuel consumption cars),評價體系的建立(3)--方案確定Establish
16、ment of Evaluation System-Determination of Strategy,了解研究國外的方法和經(jīng)驗;(learn the measures and experience abroad)收集數(shù)據(jù):CATARC在排放試驗時的油耗數(shù)據(jù)、中國汽車工業(yè)年鑒、企業(yè)申報數(shù)據(jù);(collect data: the fuel consumption data that have been received in the
17、 emission test at CATARC, China Auto Manual, declare data from manufacturers)分析以上數(shù)據(jù),發(fā)現(xiàn)油耗與哪些汽車參數(shù)的相關性最大,明確分類指標,及劃分值(analyze and find the best relativity between fuel consumption and auto specifics with these data, and the
18、n define the specific of categorizing and boundary limits)同時分析公司平均油耗(analysis of Corporate Average Fuel Consumption at same time) 提出方案,與汽車行業(yè)討論,給出評價體系框架。(Give the strategy of evaluation system, discuss it within auto in
19、dustry,give the frame work of evaluation system.),評價體系的建立Establishment of Evaluation System--計劃(schedule),2、技術成本效益分析Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis,技術成本效益分析-原因Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis:reason,預測中國
20、汽車在未來可能采取的技術措施,以及對燃油經(jīng)濟性的改善。(predict the possible adopted technologies by the auto industry in the future, and the improvement for FE)其結果將影響汽車燃油消耗率限值國家標準的制定。(the result will effect the setting up of national standard con
21、cerning auto fuel consumption limits)其研究結果有利于汽車廠家先進技術的選擇。(the result benefit the chose of the advanced technologies for manufactory),技術成本效益分析-主要工作Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis:main task,調查中國汽車現(xiàn)在的技術水平以及未來可能采用的技
22、術預測(Survey the current technical situation of Chinese auto industry and the prediction of advanced technologies that would be adopted in future).研究提高汽車能源效率的各項技術措施(study the every technology used for the improvement of E
23、F)分析其效果和成本.(cost-effectiveness analysis)預測中國汽車在未來可能采取的技術措施,以及對燃油經(jīng)濟性的改善.(predict the technologies adopted likely in the future and then the improvement of the FE)提出可能的技術組合方案(give the possible combination of those techn
24、ologies),技術成本效益分析-難點Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis:Difficult,各種技術的成本預測。(Predict the cost of implementation of technology.)如何考慮技術之間的疊加效應?(How to take into account of the folding effect of these technologies.),技術
25、成本效益分析-時間表Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis(schedule),3、汽車燃料經(jīng)濟性的普查Universal Survey on Auto Fuel Economy,汽車燃料經(jīng)濟性的普查-原因?universal survey on auto fuel economy-reason?,了解中國汽車燃油經(jīng)濟性的現(xiàn)狀;(learn the present situation of C
26、hina auto)為制定燃油消耗率限值國家標準提供基礎;(make base data for the establishment of national standard of auto fuel consumption limits),汽車燃料經(jīng)濟性的普查-主要工作universal survey on auto fuel economy-main task,汽車制造廠上報各車型油耗。(declare auto fuel co
27、nsumption by the manufactories) 召開研討會,介紹普查及統(tǒng)計的意義和經(jīng)驗。(put out meeting, present the meaning and exchange the experience of the survey and statistic) 典型車輛的試驗(test of typical auto) 建立數(shù)據(jù)庫,統(tǒng)計各種相關數(shù)據(jù)(make database and count o
28、ut all the relative statistics),汽車燃料經(jīng)濟性普查-試驗中的問題Universal Survey of Auto Fuel Economy-Question in Test,由排放試驗數(shù)據(jù)計算得到的油耗與實測油耗有何不同?相關性如何?(What’s the difference between calculating fuel consumption and real fuel consumption?
29、 What about the relativity?) 不同地區(qū)和不同設備測得的結果是否存在差異?如何對待這些差異?(Is there any difference among the test results received in different place or by different equipment? How do you handle or eliminate the difference?),汽車燃料經(jīng)濟性的普
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