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1、QuantMarkEcon(2009)7:207–236DOI10.1007s111290099066zTheeffectofadvertisingonbrawarenessperceivedquality:AnempiricalinvestigationusingpaneldataC.RobertClarkUlrichDaszelskiMichaelaDraganskaReceived:11December2007Accepted:2
2、April2009Publishedonline:8May2009?SpringerScienceBusinessMediaLLC2009AbstractWeuseapaneldatasetthatcombinesannualbrleveladvertisingexpendituresfoverthreehundredbrswithmeasuresofbrawarenessperceivedqualityfromalargescalec
3、onsumersurveytostudytheeffectofadvertising.Advertisingismodeledasadynamicinvestmentinabr’sstocksofawarenessperceivedqualityweaskhowsuchaninvestmentchangesbrawarenessqualityperceptions.Ourpaneldataallowustocontrolfunobser
4、vedheterogeneityacrossbrstoidentifytheeffectofadvertisingfromthetimeseriesvariationwithinbrs.Theyalsoallowustoaccountftheendogeneityofadvertisingthroughrecentlydevelopeddynamicpaneldataestimationtechniques.Wefindthatadve
5、rtisinghasconsistentlyasignificantpositiveeffectonbrawarenessbutnosignificanteffectonperceivedquality.KeywdsAdvertisingBrawarenessPerceivedqualityDynamicpaneldatamethodsJELClassificationL15C23H37C.R.ClarkInstituteofAppli
6、edEconomicsHECMontrealCIRPEE3000ChemindelaCoteSainteCatherineMontrealQuebecH3T2A7Canadaemail:.DaszelskiDepartmentofEconomicsHarvardUniversity1805CambridgeStreetCambridgeMA02138USAemail:.Draganska(B)GraduateSchoolofBusine
7、ssStanfdUniversityStanfdCA943055015USAemail:ffectofadvertisingonbrawarenessperceivedquality209asaffectingthechoicesetasaffectingtheutilitythattheconsumerderivesfromabr.Iftheroleofadvertisingismistakenlyspecifiedasaffecti
8、ngqualityperceptions(i.e.preferences)ratherthanbrawarenessasitoftenisthentheestimatedparametersmaybebiased.InherstudyoftheU.S.personalcomputerindustrySovinskyGoeree(2008)findsthattraditionaldemmodelsoverstatepriceelastic
9、itiesbecausetheyassumethatconsumersareawareof—hencechooseamong—allbrsinthemarketwheninactualitymostconsumersareawareofonlyasmallfractionofbrs.Fourempiricalanalysiswedevelopadynamicestimationframewk.Brawarenessperceivedqu
10、alityarenaturallyviewedasstocksthatarebuiltupovertimeinresponsetoadvertising(NerloveArrow1962).Atthesametimethesestocksdepreciateasconsumersfgetpastadvertisingcampaignsasanoldcampaignissupersededbyanewcampaign.Advertisin
11、gcanthusbethoughtofasaninvestmentinbrawarenessperceivedquality.Thedynamicnatureofadvertisingleadsustoadynamicpaneldatamodel.Inestimatingthismodelweconfronttwoimptantproblemsnamelyunobservedheterogeneityacrossbrsthepotent
12、ialendogeneityofadvertising.Wediscussthesebelow.Whenestimatingtheeffectofadvertisingacrossbrsweneedtokeepinmindthattheyaredifferentinmanyrespects.Unobservedfactsthataffectbothadvertisingexpendituresthestocksofperceivedqu
13、alityawarenessmayleadtospuriouspositiveestimatesoftheeffectofadvertising.Putdifferentlyifwedetectaneffectofadvertisingthenwecannotbesureifthiseffectiscausalinthesensethathigheradvertisingexpendituresleadtohigherbrawarene
14、ssperceivedqualityifitisspuriousinthesensethatdifferentbrshavedifferentstocksofperceivedqualityawarenessaswellasadvertisingexpenditures.Fexamplealthoughinourdatathebrsinthefastfoodcategyonaveragehavehighadvertisinghighaw
15、arenessthebrsinthecosmeticsfragrancescategyhavelowadvertisinglowawarenesswecannotinferthatadvertisingboostsawareness.Wecanonlyconcludethattherelationshipbetweenadvertisingexpendituresperceivedqualitybrawarenessdiffersfro
16、mcategytocategyevenfrombrtobr.Muchoftheexistingliteratureusescrosssectionaldatatodiscernarelationshipbetweenadvertisingexpendituresperceivedquality(e.g.KirmaniWright1989Kirmani1990MothyZhao2000MothyHawkins2005)inanattemp
17、ttotesttheideathatconsumersdrawinferencesaboutthebr’squalityfromtheamountthatisspentonadvertisingit(Nelson1974MilgromRoberts1986TellisFnell1988).Withcrosssectionaldataitisdifficulttoaccountfunobservedheterogeneityacrossb
18、rs.Indeedifweneglectpermanentdifferencesbetweenbrsthenwefindthatbothbrawarenessperceivedqualityarepositivelycrelatedwithadvertisingexpenditurestherebyreplicatingtheearlierstudies.Oncewemakefulluseofourpaneldataaccountfun
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