基于數(shù)據(jù)挖掘的公交客流規(guī)律研究.pdf

1、北京交通大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文基于數(shù)據(jù)挖掘的公交客流規(guī)律研究姓名：舒國(guó)輝申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別：碩士專業(yè)：智能交通工程指導(dǎo)教師：關(guān)偉20090601ABSTRACTABSTRACT：Publictransportpassengerflowisthebasicdataofurbantransitplanning，operationschedulingandorganizationIftheruleofpublictransportpassengerflo

2、wcouldbeacquiredaccuratelyontime，thepublictransportcompanyc鋤takeappropriatemeasurestomeetthedemandsofpassengers，improvetransitcapabilitycutdowntheeconomiccostandsocialcostThebusICcardsgeneratemassiveoperationdataSOusingt

3、hesedataCanreflectthecharacteristicofpublictransportpassengerflowaccuratelyontimeOnthisaccount，thispaperusesbusICcarddatatomakearesearchontheruleofpublictransportpassengerflowbasedondataminingtechnologyThispaperfocusesOi

4、ltheresearchoftheruleofpublictransportpassengerflowAlthoughtheexistingresearchmethodoftransportpassengerflowdataisrelativelymatureandbeingusedwidelythereisstillsomedisadvantageThetransportpassengerflowdataiscollectedbyma

5、nualinvestigationItcostsalotofmoneyandtime，anditsvalidityCan’tbeguaranteedWhendealwithmassivedata，theexistingmathematicalstatisticalmethodsishelplessThispaperwillmakearesearchonbusICcard，combinethetraditionalmathematical

6、statisticalmethodswithstateoftheartdataminingmethod，andgettheruleofpublictransportpassengerflowandpassengerflowindexneededinpublictransportoperationthroughtheanalysisandtreatmentonbusICcarddataAccordingtosuccessiveandrel

7、ativityofthedataminingresult，thispaperfirstlymakesaresearchonthedivisionofpassengerflowpeakinterval，calculatesthesiteandtimeofgettingonandoffthebusbasedontheresultofthedivision；Secondlybasedonthedataminingresultthispaper

8、alreadyhave，makespredictiononthenumberofpeoplegettingonandoffthebus；AtlastusesmathematicalstatisticalmethodstosolvetheindexesofpassengerflowandsummariestheruleofpublictransportpassengerflowAfterbuildingthemodelofdatamini

9、ngbasedonbusICcarddata，thispaperchoosestherealICcarddatafrompublictransportgroup，andmakesaresearchonthemodelandalgorithmTheexperimentprovestheapplicabilityofdatamimingmodelbaseOilbusICcardTheresearchontheruleofpublictran

10、sportpassengerflowinthispaperfuseousinthereaspects：Firstlythetripcharacteristicsofpassengerincludingridingtimeandtripdistance；Secondlythetimelinessrulesofpublictransportpassengerflowincludingpassengerflowperiodicityandti