減免東盟關(guān)稅對(duì)中國(guó)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)和產(chǎn)業(yè)的影響.pdf

1、之幽學(xué)校代號(hào)1Q墅2分類號(hào)@湘確犬事HUNANUNIVERSITY碩士學(xué)位論文學(xué)號(hào)嬰4251Q逝密級(jí)——減免東盟關(guān)稅對(duì)中國(guó)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)和產(chǎn)業(yè)的影響學(xué)位申請(qǐng)人姓名李鏡池培養(yǎng)單位墨鎏皇塑曼堂墮導(dǎo)師姓名及職稱塹塑要塾堡：墊撾壘副墊塑學(xué)科專業(yè)國(guó)匾塞星堂研究方向CGE模型及應(yīng)用——論文提交日期型墮生2旦墊旦AbstractChinaandASEANsignedthe’’FrameworkAgreementOilComprehensiveEconomi

2、cCooperation，betweenChinaandASEAN?！痑ndestabfishedthebasicframeworkofChinaASEANfreetradeareaon4”，November，2002Accordingtotheplan，bothChinaandthesixoriginalmembersofASEANwiUcarryoutzerotariffrateto8speciesofagriculturalgoo

3、dsin2006thefreetradeareabetweenChinaandthesixoriginalmembersofASEANwillcometruein2010andthefreetradeareabetweenChinaandthefoatnewmembersofASEANwillcometrsein2018HowtoevaluatetheeconomiceffectoftariffreductiontoASEANespec

4、iallytowardthesixoriginalmembersofASEAN，undertheChina—ASEANfreetrade#an，willbenefitUStomakedecisionsaboutthemacroeconomyandindustryeconomyThispaperwhichrelatedtheresidentconsumptionthatwastreatedasresidentialvariableinth

5、eoriginalChingemmodeltotheresidentincomeonthebasisoftheChingemmodelimprovedthelong—termmacroclosuresothattheeconomygrowthwillaffectresidentconsumption，makingtheresultsnlorereliableItanalyzestheshort—termcconomiceffectofc

6、arl“yingoutzerotariffrateto8speciesofagriculturalgoodsandthelongtermeconomiceffectsofcompletezerotariffratetowardthesixoriginalmembersofASEAN，onthebasisofChingemmodelTheresultsconcentrateonthemacrovariablesandtheprospect

7、sofindmtriesThemacrosideanalyzesthechangingtrendanditsreasonofGDPtrade，employmentandpricelevelTheindustrialsideanalyzesthechangingtrendanditsreasonofindustrialoutput，employmentandpricelevelinmanufacture，serviceandagricul

8、tureTheresearchshowsthatintheshort—termwhencuttingtmrifftowardthesixoriginalmembersofASEAN，Chinaseconomywillgrowtheimportandexportvolumewillincrease，thetradesurpluswillexpand，andtheoutputandexportofthemanufacturesectorsw

9、illincreaseInlongterm，China’Seco∞mywillincreaseharmoniouslythestructureofimportandexportgoodwillbeupgraded，serviceindustrywillbenefitwhilesomeagricultureandmanufactureindustrieswilldamage，andtheemploymentofmanufactureind