基于保有量和集聚度的中國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的實(shí)證研究.pdf

1、中國(guó)科學(xué)技術(shù)大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文基于保有量和集聚度的中國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的實(shí)證研究姓名：榮敏申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別：碩士專業(yè)：@指導(dǎo)教師：@@2ABSTRACTInrecentyearstherapiddevelopmentofChinasautomobileindustryhasbecomethepillarindustryofnationaleconomy.In2009Chinahasbecomethecountrywhichautomobilepr

2、oductionsalesinthewldbutthelowcarownershippercapitatheautomotivemarketalargepotentialdemtheautomotiveindustrysdevelopmentpotential.ChinaautoindustryresearchonChinasautoindustrythesteadyhealthydevelopmentoftheoverallplann

3、ingofmacroeconomicsignificance.ThisstudyedthevolumedensityofthedevelopmentoftheautomotiveindustrymostofthesetwodimensionsofconcerntotheanalysisstrivetoresolveinmanywaysChinasautoindustrydevelopmentfindthedirectionofthein

4、dustryfocusoffuturedevelopment.BasedontheoverallownershipinChinasautoindustryfecastthedevelopmentofChinasautomobileindustrymadeamacroscopicanalysisinterpretation.Throughtheintroductionofadvancedfecastingmethodsfecastingb

5、asedontheconditionsminimumsumofsquarederrstheexponentialsmoothingmethodthecombinationofBPneuralwktoimprovethepredictionaccuracystability.CiviliancarsinChinawerepredictedtogivethereaderthedevelopmentoftheautomotiveindustr

6、ywithmacroconceptualawarenessunderstingofChinathroughacombinationofciviliancarsintheanalysisofpredictedresultsfavabletothedevelopmentofChinasautoindustryPolicyrecommendations.Themainstreamofdevelopmentftheautomotiveindus

7、tryfmsofindustrialganizationtheintroductionoftheconceptofindustrialclusteringclusteringonthestatusofChinasautomobileindustrymadeadeiveanalysisrelatedresearchrevealedtheChineseautoindustryhasfmedacertaindegreeofindustrial

8、clustering.InKrugmans“centerperiphery“modelsotherindustryclusterbasedonthetheysummeduptheimpactofChinasautomobileindustryclusterfmedbymanyfactsestablishtheappropriateregressionmodelindepthanalysistoidentifythedevelopment