確證悖論探析

1、華中科技大學碩士學位論文確證悖論探析姓名：劉成斌申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：科技哲學指導教師：頓新國20090519華 中 科 技 大 學 碩 士 學 位 論 文 華 中 科 技 大 學 碩 士 學 位 論 文 IIAbstract American philosopher Hempel proposed the paradox of confirmation in the Problems of Truth which was publ

2、ished in 1937. The paradox was discovered when he researched Nicod Criteria and Equivalence condition. Hempel then gave a detailed discussion about the paradox in his Studies in the Logic of Confirmation in 1945. Hempel

3、claimed that the paradox of confirmation consisted of intuition paradox and confirmed logical paradox, which attracted wide attention of many philosophers of science. From then on, many scholars put forward a variety of

4、solutions to the paradox. Though these solutions did not completely resolve the paradox, they enriched the theory of confirmation, and promoted the development of this theory. Hempel’s confirmation paradox is the rationa

5、l reconstruction to the justification and test of scientific theory. The development of epistemology is the standpoint and basis of Hempel’s confirmation theory. This theory aims to provide an objective evidence for scie

6、ntific justification. Hempel thinks that qualitative confirmation indicates the logic relationship between sentences, and the research object of his theory is about the relationship between observational sentence and hyp

7、othetical sentence. Hempel’s qualitative confirmation concept belongs to the category of semantics. This paper attempts to analyze the above solutions from three aspects which are scientific methodology approach, releva

8、nce approach and Bayesian Approach. Scientific methodology approach thinks that the paradox of confirmation results from people’s psychological illusion, and it tries to eliminate the paradox through finding the reasons

9、why the paradox produced and revising Nicod Criteria. Relevance approach tries to eliminate the paradox from the relevance of the evidence to the tested hypothesis in some confirmation environment. The point of relevance