可拓聚類預測方法在煙草銷售量預測中的應用研究

1、昆明理工大學碩士學位論文可拓聚類預測方法在煙草銷售量預測中的應用研究姓名：沈航申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：管理科學與工程指導教師：鄒平20050525昆明理工大學碩士學位論文AbstractAbstractTobaccoindustryisoneofthemainstayindustriesofchina‘snationaleconomyanditisalargefamilytochina’staxinterestSoresearching

2、ontechnologyofpredictingsalesoftobaccohasstrongrealmeaningThethesisusesextensionclassifiedpredictionmodel，whichisasomewhatuewpredictionone，topredictandanalyzethesalesOftobaccoThistrialwillbehelpfultelateddecisionmadebyma

3、nagersExtensiontheoryresearchesonrulesandmethodsofsolvingconflictsfromqualitativeandquantitativeaspectItstheorysupportismatterelementandextensionset，anditslogicalcellismatterelementExtensionclassifiedpredictionisanapplie

4、dtechnologyusingextensionmethodinpredictionfieldsItsbasisarematterelementtheoryandextensionmathematics，anditsqualitativetoolismatterelementtransformation，anditsquantitativetoolisdependantoffunctionItadoptscombinedmethodo

5、fqualityandquamitytopredictAsspecialcommoditymonopolizedbyourcountrytobacco’Severytacheincludingpricemaking，production，materialsupplydispartingsaleandretailetcisallstrictlycontrolledby’government，Soitssaleismoreinfluence

6、dbyexternaleconomicalsituationIntraditionalpredictionmethod，generallytheinfluenceCannotbeconfirmedanddescribedexactlyandquantitativelySOveracityofpredictionisaffectedWhilematterelementofextensiontheorymayintegratemultipl

7、eenvironmentvariablesasonematerelementtoanalyze，andmakeitpossiblecombiningmultipleenvironmentvariablestopredictIfwe，regardsaleschangeoftobaccounderdifferenteconomicalenvironmentasonepredictionresult，thenwemayuseclusterpr

8、edictionmethodtopredictThethesisusesextensionclassifiedprediction，principalcomponentsanalysis，andRtypeclusteranalysismethods，confirmsenvironmentindexwhichaffectssalesoftobacco，andmakessomeattemptonselectingreasonablerepr

9、esentationformatofindexshapeandconfirmingvaluesofclassicalfieldandpartialfieldbymathematicalstatistics，andcompletesindexselectionblanksofinfluencingeconomicalenvironmentThethesissuggestsitsownmethodandtestsitinpracticeab