事故致因理論及其在水上交通安全管理中的應(yīng)用.pdf

1、武漢理工大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文事故致因理論及其在水上交通安全管理中的應(yīng)用姓名：郝勇申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別：碩士專業(yè)：交通信息工程及控制指導(dǎo)教師：李勇2003.6.1苧堡矍三查蘭堡主蘭堡墮蘭一——AbstractInordertoprobetheprocessofwatertrafficaccident，investlgatlonitscausationwhichwillhelpforthesafeguardagainstrisks，andtoimpro

2、vewatertrafficsafetymanagement，thispaperanalysesandcomparesvariesofaccident—causingtheories，thenonthebasisofthem，producedwatertrafficaceident—causingtheory，andgaveaclearexplanatlonofeachofitsfactorsThetheoryiscertifiedby

3、causationanalyzingtotwealaccidentsInthefollowing。thepaperdiscussedtheapplicationofwatertraffic8ccident—causingtheoryinSOLASConventionandinwatertrafficsafetymanagementinourcountryTypicalaccidentcausingtheoriesincludesHein

4、rich’sDomino’stheoryitsdevelopmentbyBird，Adamsandotherpeople，progressofwhichisthatitisdeficienciesofmanagementsystemthataretherootcauseinaccidentcausationsequenceThisisauthor’sidearesourceandmainmethodtoproducethewatertr

5、afficaccident—causingtheoryinadditionuncontrolledtransferringofenergytheory，applieswidelyinsafety伸anagementschemeforwatertraffic：humanerroraccidentmodelcanbeusedtoanalyzecausesofcollisionaccidentandtotakepreventivemeasur

6、es：perturbationtheoryandmultilineareventsequencingmethodisaveryusefulinvestigationmethodtowatertrafficaccidentsAllofthesetheorieshavecontributedtothedevelopmentofwatertrafficaccident—causingtheoryAstoorbitintersectingthe

7、ory，thepaperthinksitextensionofDomino’stheory，althoughitexistsindependently，Amongallaboveaccident—causingtheories，thereisacoffⅡnonpointofview。ieunsafebehaviorofhumanand／orunsafeconditionofobjectisthedirectcsuseofaacciden

8、tThepapercenteredthepointofview，goingforwardtofindoutthemanagementsystemfactor，whilegoingafterwardtoidentifyemergencyactions，soaintegratedwatertrafficaccidentcausingtheorycomesforwardItsaysdeficienciesofmanagementsystem，

9、including(butnot1imited)companymanagementsystemforsafeoperationsandmaritimesafetyadministrationsystemistherootcauseofaccidentcausationItcausescrew’squalitydeficiencies，unfitnessofcargo，anddangerousnavigationcircumstances

10、，whichfurthermoreCauseunsafebehaviorofcrewmembers，unsafeconditionofshipandcargoonboardand／orhighrisksofcircumstances，that1eadtoundesiredevent(s)Thosemayormaynotresultininitialloss，dependingoncircumstancesThefinallossthen

11、depends013theemergencyremedialactionsthataretaken，ornotThewatertrafficaccident—causingtheorycanbeusedtoimproveandperfectmarlneaccidentinvestinationThetheoryhasquiteabetterapplicationinSOLASConventiongraduallYWatertraffic

12、administrationmeasuresinourcountryapplywiththetheoryonthewholeButsomefactor，suchasmarltimeadministrationsystem，fitnessofcargo，maritimesafetyinformationandemergencypreparedness，arecontrolledincompletelyandunconcretelyKeyw