mba論文南昌市住宅房地產(chǎn)泡沫實(shí)證研究pdf

1、 分類(lèi)號(hào)： 密 級(jí)： 公 開(kāi) 公 開(kāi) 學(xué) 號(hào)： 6120110247 單位代碼： 1 04 07 碩 士 學(xué) 位 論 文 論文題目: 南昌市住宅房地產(chǎn)泡沫實(shí)證 南昌市住宅房地產(chǎn)泡沫實(shí)證研究 研究 研 究 方 向 工程管理 工程管理 專(zhuān) 業(yè) 名 稱(chēng) 管理科學(xué)與工程 管理科學(xué)與工程 研 究 生 姓 名 康路陽(yáng) 康路陽(yáng) 導(dǎo)師姓名、職稱(chēng) 鄒坦 鄒坦 教授 教授 2013 2013 年 6 6 月 8 日 江

2、西·贛州 江西·贛州II Abstract Real estate industry is a pillar industry of Nanchang. Once the residential real estate bubble occurred in Nanchang,it would bring severe consequences tothe economic and social life of Nan

3、chang city. Thus, research on the existence of real estate bubble and how to measure bubbles in Nanchang has great significance to the sustainable development of Nanchang City estate market. This thesis firstly explaines

4、 the theory of the real estate bubble, including the notion, characteristics, causes，harm and the measurement methods of real estate bubble;then，measures the size of the real estate bubble in Nanchang by Index system met

5、hod.F inally，some suggestions were given bosed on the physical truth. The empirical part is the central content of this thesis. This thesis choose those indexs to estimate the bubble status，the indexes studied inelude Re

6、al estate investment versus fixed investment,house price increase versus GDP growth rate,price to income ratio,commodity housing vacancy rate and Real estate loan growth rate versus financial institution loan growth rate

7、. Using factor analysis method to certain weight of those indexs. Through empirical research，the following conclusions can be drawn:from 2002to2011,there is bubble in Nanchang bubble real estate market except 2002,2008,2